NFL, Eagles Week 12 Picks And Trends
PHILADELPHIA (CBS) --- You shouldn't bet on football games. You're going to lose. I would never do it.
Having said that, if you insist on gambling ever Sunday, at least use some of the helpful information from OddShark.com. Here are some Week 12 trends that can help us, I mean you, this weekend.
Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles -12.5, o/u 49
- Titans 4-0 Straight Up (SU) last 4 meetings with Eagles (3-1 Against The Spread [ATS])
- Titans 2-5 ATS last 7 games as road underdogs
- Eagles 7-2-1 ATS last 10 games as home favorites
- OVER 3-0 in last 3 meetings
My take: The 2-8 Titans are coming off a tough three-point Monday night loss at home against the Steelers. Now, they travel to Philly on a short week to play an Eagles team that got smoked by the Packers last weekend.
This has all the makings of an Eagles blowout, but I wouldn't touch this game. Could see a Titans backdoor cover. 12.5 is a lot of points.
Notable:
- Bears 2-11-1 ATS past 14 home games
- Browns have lost 22 of past 24 games as road dogs
- Minnesota has been double-digit home dogs just three times since 1980, the last time was Oct. 23 2011 vs Green Bay, they covered in a 33-27 loss. Other two times were 1984 and 1985.
- Cowboys 8-0 ATS last 8 road games after bye week (6-2 SU)
- Broncos 7-1 SU and ATS after a SU loss during the Peyton Manning regime
Porter's Picks (if I were to bet, which of course, I don't):
Atlanta (-3) vs. Cleveland
I hate the Falcons. They're not a good football team and Mike Smith is an atrocious coach. However, in that putrid division, their 4-6 record is good enough to have them sitting in first placed with some sort of weird confidence.
Plus, the Falcons are a very good home.
Matt Ryan on the road: 8 TD to 6 INT, 63.2 completion %, 81.4 QB rating
Matt Ryan at home: 9 TD to 2 INT, 69.5 completion %, 115.7 QB rating
Gimme the Falcons minus the field goal.
Detroit (+7.5) at New England, o/u 48
This is an interesting game. New England is nasty at home. It's almost insane to bet against Bill Belichick and Tom Brady in Foxborough. Well call me crazy (CRAZY!), because I like the Lions and the under.
Detroit's defense is elite, arguably the best. They're ranked No. 1 allowing just 290.3 yards per game and 15.6 points per game. While playing in New England will be a difficult challenge, I'll take my chances with seven and a half points. That extra half is huge.
And, if Detroit wins this game is going under.
Arizona (+7) at Seattle
Just feels like a Seahawks blowout to me. Ebb and flow of the NFL, Drew Stanton playing in Seattle, just screams 27-10 Seahawks. The Seahawks are 12-2 ATS in last 14 home games vs. NFC West opponents.
Dallas (-3.5) at New York Giants
Home division dog! It's a formula for success. The Giants always play the 'Boys tough, so I'll take the points and the home team in a division rival, especially when it's more than a field goal.
Check Out These Sports Stories:
