Parts of North Texas will see heavy rain Monday afternoon as Beryl's track shifts east
NORTH TEXAS — A line of storms will move into North Texas late Sunday night into Monday morning mainly along the Red River and could spread as far south as the I-20 corridor. The main threat will be strong wind gusts.
An outflow wind surge progressing through the metroplex Sunday night has a history of producing wind gusts as high as 50 mph. It will not be accompanied by any rain or storms.
Tropical Storm Beryl
As of Sunday night, aircraft data shows that Beryl's inner core radius extends out about 35-40 miles in diameter, which is quite large for an intensifying tropical cyclone. As long as this core remains broad, the intensification of Beryl will remain rather gradual. This may change Sunday night as it tightens around that common center and develops an eye wall.
There is still a small window for rapid intensification and a Category 2 Hurricane is not out of the question at landfall. The National Hurricane Center now projects a landfall around 1 a.m. Monday morning near Matagorda.
"As Hurricane Beryl approaches the Texas coast, now is the time for Texans to make their final preparations to protect themselves and their property," Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick said during a press conference Sunday with the Texas Department of Emergency Management. "One hundred-twenty-one counties are already under state disaster declaration, and more may be added if conditions warrant ... Beryl is a resilient storm, and it poses a serious threat for Texans in its path at landfall and the following 24 hours as it moves through Texas."
Some outside tropical bands of showers and thunderstorms with deeper moisture are approaching the metroplex from the southeast. These are generally moving into the area and already prompted one flash flood warning for 2-3" of rain that fell quickly in Anderson County.
A flood watch is in effect from Monday morning through Tuesday morning for parts of North and Central Texas, including Hunt, Kaufman, Anderson, Henderson and Van Zandt counties.
The latest high-resolution models show Beryl approaching east of the metroplex Monday morning and lasting through the early afternoon. There will also be a boundary approaching from the northwest with what's left from some strong thunderstorms in Oklahoma Sunday evening.
Monday around midday, these features should interact and could provide the trigger for more thunderstorms and a flash flooding risk over the metroplex. Higher rainfall rates are certainly in play in any storms that develop. Also of note, a lower-end tornado threat also exists east of the metroplex on the dirty quadrants of the storm.
By Tuesday, it's back to mostly sunny skies and highs near 90. Highs will jump back into the mid-90s by midweek, and it looks like the triple digits will make a comeback next week.
