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Tropical Storm Milton forecasted to become major hurricane. Here's what Florida can expect.

South Florida 11 p.m. Weather Forecast 10/5/2024
South Florida 11 p.m. Weather Forecast 10/5/2024 03:42

MIAMI — Tropical Storm Milton formed in the western Gulf of Mexico on Saturday and it is now forecasted to become a major hurricane as it approaches Florida's Gulf Coast.

It is expected to rapidly intensify into a Category 3 hurricane before it makes landfall as a Category 2 hurricane across the west coast of Florida on Wednesday.

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Tropical Storm Milton path and forecast as of 11 p.m. Saturday. CBS News Miami

On Saturday evening, Governor Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency in 35 counties ahead of Milton's landfall. In the state of emergency bulletin, DeSantis included Broward, Miami-Dade and Monroe Counties.

The National Hurricane Center said in its 11 p.m. Saturday advisory that the "risk of life-threatening impacts [are] increasing for portions of the Florida west coast."

How will Milton impact South Florida?

CBS News Miami's NEXT Weather Team said the track has shifted a little north on Saturday evening toward Tampa and Fort Myers, but it still includes some portions of South Florida, including Broward County. The storm will be slow to move and organize overnight Sunday before it is expected to speed up and intensify on between Monday and Tuesday.

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Tropical Storm Milton forecast models CBS News Miami

South Florida will receive a "one-two punch" with this system, beginning Sunday with a weaker and non-tropical area of low pressure that will swing through the area then and into Monday. This will bring South Florida's first round of heavy rain.   

The second "punch" will be Milton, forecasted to arrive at the Gulf Coast on Wednesday afternoon, bringing more heavy rain and windy weather. 

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Tropical Storm Milton Florida tracker as of 11 p.m. Saturday. CBS News Miami

Depending on its track, Milton could bring tropical-storm conditions very early Wednesday for most of South Florida; however, the Florida Keys could see these conditions earlier.

For now, South Florida's main threat continues to be the risk of rainwater flooding, with 4"-7"+ looking likely across the area. 

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Rain accumulation from Saturday evening through Friday. CBS News Miami

Saturday will be a precursor to this stretch of very wet weather, with ongoing rounds of showers and storms set to move through the area. This will prime Florida soils for what will likely be an increasing flood risk set to continue into the week ahead. Expect a flood watch to take effect through Thursday.

Remember: if you see standing water on the roadways, turn around because it only takes a foot of water to float most vehicles.

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