Bills Vs. Dolphins 2014 NFL Week 11 Odds, Predictions & Betting Picks ATS Preview
By Abraham Gutierrez
Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, will be the site for a pivotal AFC East division showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins in W22k 11 of the 2014 NFL season. Opening kickoff is scheduled for Thursday night at 8:30 p.m. Eastern Time and it will be broadcast live on NFL Network.
According to NFL Week 11 oddsmakers, the Dolphins come into this game favored to even the season series with the Bills at one win apiece. The most recent NFL point spreads indicate that Miami (-5) is a five-point favorite over a visiting Buffalo (+5) squad who will enjoy a five-point cushion in the ATS (against-the-spread) department.
In addition, the OVER/UNDER for this intradivisional clash is set at a combined total of 42 points, which means defense will certainly play a role in the outcome of the ballgame. Finally, alternate straight-up (SU) betting lines have the Buffalo Bills as +190 underdogs and the Miami Dolphins value tallies -220 this week.
While the Bills and Dolphins enter Week 11 of the 2014 NFL season with mirroring 5-4 records, statistically the Fins appear to be slightly a better ATS choice than their longtime counterparts. Not only does Joe Philbin’s team is currently have a better ATS record than Doug Marrone’s bunch – 5-4 vs. 4-5 respectively – but, on paper, Miami also matches up very well against Buffalo.
From a pure head-to-head standpoint, the Dolphins have statistically owned the Bills, outperforming them in six of the seven main statistical categories in the National Football League. Mathematically, Miami has an edge in the following facets of the game: Points per game, yards gained, yards allowed, time of possession, Red Zone efficiency and in penalties.
The lone area in which Buffalo has bested the Fins thus far in the 2014 NFL season has been on special teams, which certainly isn’t a deal-breaker. Perhaps these figures justify the fact that, as of Wednesday morning, a whopping 59 percent of the betting action favors a Miami ATS cover, compared to only 41 percent who believe otherwise.
But that’s not the only statistical data that suggests Miami is the smart bet to make come Sunday afternoon in South Florida. Head-to-head ATS trends dictate that the betting favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these clubs, and that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups.
Additional Buffalo Bills ATS Trends To Consider:
- Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
- Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
- Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
- Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Additional Miami Dolphins ATS Trends To Consider:
- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
- Dolphins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Dolphins are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
CBS Sports Free NFL Week 11 Free Betting Picks: Miami wins the game, but Buffalo Bills will cover at +5 on the road.
For more Dolphins news and updates, visit Dolphins Central.
Abe Gutierrez is a criminal justice admin whose love for sports led him to become a writer and editor. His expertise make him a valued addition to Examiner.com and its partners. His work can be found on Examiner.com. .
