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North Texas: Unusual High Risk of Severe Storms

NORTH TEXAS:  MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF SEVERE STORMS

For the first time since the Haltom City tornado in April of 2007, the Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of North Texas under a HIGH RISK for severe storms.  It's rare enough that it happens maybe once or twice a year for the entire country.  We take from this forecast the idea that a very serious severe weather event will take place in the risk area.

If yesterday's severe weather was not evidence enough of what could happen, those storms formed on a MODERATE RISK day.  And a MODERATE RISK is over the metropolitan area this afternoon.  The combination of strong upper level energy along with a dominant surface boundary and the peak heating of the day will bring about another round of strong to severe storms this afternoon into the early evening hours.

Storm Timing:

The window looks again to be after 2PM through 9PM with the peak activity occurring 4PM-7PM.

What Types of Severe Weather:

Discrete super cell storms capable of producing the following:

  1. Long-track tornadoes with a long life cycle.
  2. Large hail to the size of baseballs.
  3. Damaging downburst winds 70-100 mph.
  4. Frequent, intense cloud-to-ground lightning.
  5. Localized flash flooding with slower moving cells.
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