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Joe Joyce

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Squeeze Play Friday...Fine Autumn Weekend

With a weak ridge of high pressure still in place, just enough sinking air remains in place so by the afternoon, this deck of clouds will begin to thin inland giving way to increasing sunshine inland where high temps could climb into the Lwr 70's...especially in western New England who will see the most sun. Clouds will hold longer on the coast, but eventually the sun will emerge this afternoon. Light east winds will keep it cooler at the coast again in the Lwr-mid 60's. Cape Cod and the Islands will have a mostly cloudy day with the risk of being clipped with some light showers from the midday through afternoon.

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Here Comes Fall!

Clouds will be in place through about 10 or 11 AM...before a sharp clearing line will be working towards the coast by lunchtime. Temps have been cooling behind the front this morning into the 50's and Lwr 60's. Once the sunshine comes out in full this afternoon, temps will give another run towards 70-72 degrees, but will start to fall later in the day with the lowering sun angles and breezy NW winds pushing in the much cooler air from Canada which will settle in tonight.

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Summer Saves The Best For Last

Periodic light showers will be shifting to SE MA and the Cape for the Afternoon where it will remain a bit damp. It is a dry day in Boston points, N & W. Clearing skies with drier air will try to push to the coast but it will not be easy. Sunshine in western New England should arrive near Worcester by 2 or 3 PM. It will take the entire day for the clearing line t reach the coast unfortunately. Winds are lighter today out of the NNE. With clouds and cool wind off the water...60's and Lwr 70's at the beaches, Lwr-mid 70's inland where we will see some increasing afternoon sunshine.

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Plenty Of Summer Left In The Tank!

Our computer models continue in a westward shift with the track of Tropical Storm this morning. Yesterday, models leaned towards taking the storm into the FL panhandle. Today, they seem to be favoring a track into Louisiana. There is still a great deal of uncertainty with the eventual outcome of landfall...somewhere between Pensacola FL and New Orleans Early Wed AM. How strong? Cat 2 likely. 100+ mph...but could be stronger depending upon the track and the depth of the warm water the storm tracks over. Cat 3 can not be ruled out. Storm Surge will be dependent upon the strength of the storm as seas/waves become bigger with deeper pressure falls and stronger winds. Where ever this storm hits it will come with significant storm surge flooding and damaging winds. All of this happening on the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. The path into New Orleans is the worst direction a hurricane can take for the city 6 feet under sea level. Levees could be tested again. All we can do is hope for a shift to the East...but then Mobile, Biloxi and Pensacola are the target. Answers to strength, track, surge, impact will come in the coming days. For now...all we can do is monitor.

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