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Building high pressure this weekend will wrap in drier air along with cooler NNE winds and return temperatures to more seasonal levels for this time of year. A weak front is pushing off the coast this morning. This came with a few light sprinkles or showers overnight and a deck of mid level clouds which is eroding away this morning.
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After a showery and breezy start it is going to start to get mighty interesting around here for the next few hours. The tornado outbreak is finally coming to an end, but upper level winds are steering that energy, and moisture up the east coast in the form of thunderstorms.
Behind the departing low, some early sunshine this morning, but as the ground warms clouds and the wave passes through expect more clouds to rotate through, as well as the slight risk for a few passing light showers or sprinkles. Behind the short wave, skies should be breaking this afternoon for some increasing sunshine with a breezy west wind. Highs will be in the 40's in the clouds, Lwr 50's in the sunshine towards the coastal plain. Most of the sun today will be found in the south...yet most should be clearing as we head towards evening.
Winds have diminished as weak high pressure sits near us today and moving through the mid-Atlantic states. Sunshine this morning with increasing high to mid level clouds this afternoon ahead of our next disturbance. Highs will be cooler than normal in the lwr-mid 30's.
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Clouds have moved in this morning ahead of a warm front. This front is the leading edge of some warmer air which will move in for Valentine's day. Along this front is a vortmax which will slide through SNE during the midday and afternoon. A line of snow showers is pushing through eastern NY and and enter the Berkshires, CT, and S. VT later this morning and will move east during the afternoon. A light coating to 1" is possible in the western hills...otherwise most of us have the chance of a passing flurry or snow shower this afternoon.
Clouds are on the increase ahead of a cold front which will push through New York then New England by the end of the day. Winds will pick up out of the SW ahead of this front with gusts to 30 mph. After a cool start, highs will climb into the mid-upper 30's with the Cape edging near 40 this afternoon.
Looking down the road we have been talking about a pattern change. But there still is some cold, a few clippers and a trough in place across the Northeast through next Tuesday which will help to keep New England in the Cool...but how cold will it be?
A mix of sun and clouds will fade to increasing clouds as the disturbance moves through. Upper level winds are helping to shear this apart with snow weakening over PA and NY. This disturbance will try to provide a little light snow shower activity and flurries south of the Pike for the mid-late afternoon into the early evening. Not expecting much more than a coating to 1" in places especially in CT, RI and Southeast MA...if at all as most of the snow will fall apart and stay away.
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The newly fallen snow is adding to the chill this morning in the single digits and teens. 850 mb temps near -15C will help keep temps in the teens and lwr 20's today. We are tracking an arctic front currently in place ver the Great lakes and Canadian border. This will approach from the west tonight with increasing clouds and a chance of a few flurries by dawn. Once this front pushes off the coast tomorrow..the cold arctic air will begin to plunge into the region with the coldest air to be found Sunday Night-Early Tuesday.
High pressure parked over the Ohio Valley is steering in cold dry weather from Canada. Plenty of Sunshine today with highs in the Upper 20's and Lwr 30's. An Arctic front pushes through tonight and the real cold air gets on the move. Arctic air will settle in after midnight with clear skies and calm winds. Lows will drop below zero in interior valleys while hover near 10 degrees at the coast.
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Just like yesterday, warmer air aloft will allow a rapid warm up into the midday with temperatures quickly climbing into the 50's this afternoon with Sunny to Partly Sunny skies.
With the warmer air aloft and temps now warming at the surface, after a frosty start, I expect temps to quickly warm into the 50's and then into the 60's inland today. Normal high is 53.
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