Windswept...
Another wild night with low pressure sliding to our west and then north. Once again we are on the warm side and temps are on the climb right now...50s are surging up from the south on gusty southerly winds. The rain will be fast moving and over by 2AM...some will puck up close to an inch in any convective downpours but most should pick up less. The wind will gust close to 60 mph near the coast with gusts over 40 mph inland...enough for scattered power outages. Winds will be shifting into the west in the morning and temps will be falling. In fact, the high will be seen early in the morning...near 50...but by early tomorrow morning temps will have slipped to the 30s.
Are you wondering why we've been so warm and every storm is rain? Here's why, this is a look at a graph of the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) this is showing us that the NAO has essentially been positive since September 1st. When the NAO is positive it means there is no blocking downstream from us and cold air in Canada doesn't get shoved south, thus, the cold air shortage in the Northeast. Over the next week it should start trending toward neutral...and maybe even a little negative...this will result in a shot of cold air some time next week...and maybe Winter will begin to get a foot hold.
