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Warming Back Up...

Three straight days in the rain and three straight days in the 50s...glad that weekend is over!  Today was a nicer change of pace with highs climbing through the 60s.  I will say that the wind and dominating cloud cover made it feel a bit chillier though.

The trend this week will be for continued warming...the trade off will be more clouds and scattered showers at times.  The weekend storm system and it's parent cut-off low is lifting out...being replaced by mid-level ridging from a strengthening Bermuda High.  This will effectively increase temps and humidity through the week as southerly winds surge up the East Coast.  While the ridge strengthens offshore and noses into New England, A new trough in the south is cutting off from the flow.  This cut-off has spun up a surface low that is squeezing out numerous showers over the Appalachians thanks to a supply of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.  It is slowly moving north and east and bringing wet weather with it.  The farther these showers move away from the storm center the weaker they get due to limited upper level support and they are running into the ridge too.  Thus, showers will be few and far between until the upper level support ejects north and east.  This won't happen until early Thursday...that our best chance of rain during the workweek...until then, lots of clouds and a few drops here and there.

Behind that bout of rain we will see a couple more days with seasonably mild temps before a huge cold pool of air migrates south from Northern Canada.  The timing on this blast has been tough to pin down, right now Sunday looks to be the transition day from 70s on Saturday to 50s on Monday.  During the transition there is a good chance for at least scattered showers and maybe even a period of rain on Sunday.

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