Very Active Week Ahead...
I hear I missed a fun storm last Thursday night and Friday...we got back Saturday evening and there was barely any evidence of it...that's the nice thing about Spring snow, it's gone the next day.
Well, once again today we had a little snow mixing in with the rain earlier this morning...now accumulation of course. This was in response to warmer air working in and interacting with the colder air in place. That colder air is being shoved out of here by a Summer-like surge from the south...this will produce rising temps tonight and a new feel to the air...muggy and humid! The air is also becoming marginally unstable so there is potential for a pop-up shower or rumble at any time tonight now that we are in the warm sector. Tomorrow will once again produce another round of soaking rain and embedded t-storms...in fact LI's drop down to -2 in the morning off the NAM. Timing of the front is still a little iffy but it is looking like a midday frontal passage with potential for some post frontal with the 500mb support lagging behind. The wind will be quite gusty out of the SW pre-front and then NW post-front as drier air works in.
Even though we are in an active pattern, Wednesday will actually be decent, for one, we get the sun back and although showers will threaten us late in the day...they will be light and scattered unlike today and tomorrow.
The baroclinic zone or large contrast in temperatures will be flirting with the area most of the week. This zone is a breeding ground for storms and unsettled weather and several will be passing through...timing each feature is tough and models are reflecting that right now so the end of the week while not a washout will likely feature additional showers of rain and maybe even wet snow too!
