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The Journey Continues

It's another uneventful day for New England. A dry cold front is working through our region which will open the doors to colder air to travel into our neighborhoods. Temperatures will top off in the lower and middle 40s today, but the colder air will work its way southward on Wednesday.  Partly sunny skies will be around through early this afternoon before clearing out behind the front from northwest to southeast.

The colder air will be felt tomorrow as cold air advection kicks in tonight. Clear skies (Full 'Snow' Moon) tonight will lead to a large amount of radiational cooling.  Lows will dip into the teens and lower 20s.

Wednesday will start with sunshine and end with thickening cloud cover. Highs will be in the middle and upper 30s as it goes down as the coldest day this work and school week.   The cold front (from this morning) will be hanging out to the south of the Islands, and a wave of low pressure being guided by the frontal boundary will be the culprit for late-day clouds and a few flurries for the South Coast/Cape/Islands on Wednesday night.   

Thursday will become mostly sunny with high temperatures returning to the lower 40s.  Friday will be another quiet day. Highs will be reaching the middle 40s ahead of another cold front sliding from the northwest.

The cold front that crawls eastward on Friday night will produce cloud cover and possibly a flurry or snow shower.  However, models diverge on the development (or not) of a low along the front. The EURO shows scattered snow showers in the forecast from Saturday afternoon through Saturday night, especially for Coastal Massachusetts.  On the contrary, the GFSx has the front pushing far enough east that we'd be 'in the clear' until another nearly 'dry' cold front sweeps across the area on Sunday night.  I followed the GFS since it's been very dependable so far this Winter season. So, here's how I laid out my forecast this morning.  I added a few flurries and/or snow showers on Friday night and again on Sunday night. Otherwise, the weekend will be cold in the 25-30F range both Saturday and Sunday. 

Both of the long-range models shows more numerous cold spells from mid-to-late February. That will provide us with higher chances of snow.  We'll be watching...

~Melissa :)

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