The Feel of Summer This Week...
Showers are moving through this evening with temps mostly holding in the 50's overnight with a light south wind. Showers will begin to taper off after midnight. These showers are part of a warm front which will be pushing off the coast and opening the door for a warmer more humid airmass for Monday.
It will be a cloudy damp start to Monday. The warm front will push through with SW winds steering in a warmer more humid airmass into the region with highs climbing into the mid to upper 70's nearing 80 degrees in spots by the afternoon. Clouds will begin to break and lift by the late morning, with partly sunny skies by afternoon. A cold front will sag from North to south late Monday which could trigger a few late day scattered showers or thunderstorm. I would not be surprised to see some isolated strong storms develop with the warm humid air ahead of this front.
This cold front will act as a backdoor front moving North to south, with A less humid airmass will settling in for Tuesday with temps remaining mild in the lwr-mid 70's inland, and cooler breezes at the coast with highs in the 60's. This front will stall right over us, with SNE being slightly warmer than NNE. This front could help to trigger a few late day showers inland...but I expect much of the day to be dry with Mostly cloudy to Partly cloudy skies.
By Wednesday, this stalled front will begin to lift north as a warm front and trigger a few more showers possible in the morning across the north. Humid air will again return to the region with temps climbing back inot the Lwr-mid 70's in southern New England. This front will not be able to lift far north, and will be a trigger for few more scattered showers or storms later in the day. By Thursday, all of us will be engulfed in the warm humid sector behind the warm front. Highs again will be nearing 80 degrees with partly to mostly cloudy skies. A cold front will be shifting east late in the day which will likely trigger a round of some strong-severe thunderstorms in western new England. This cold front will still be pushing through Friday morning with a few lingering showers. Much cooler air will be drive in behind this front with NW winds and building high pressure for the Memorial Day Weekend. While it may not have a summery feel to the air...next weekend promises to have some nice sunshine and low humidity which will come as welcome relief after this changeable week of weather ahead.
The forecast continues to evolve with slight changes to timing of precip and temperature. It is a complex set up which will continue to be fine tuned with each coming day. Where the front is will have a direct impact on the wind direction and the temperature for any given location. Temps will be fluctuating along this wavering stalled front. Sometimes, there will be a few downpours...the timing of these can easily change in an extended forecast. So while there are a few things we will be ironing out during the week, we are confident that there will be some pretty nice weather to enjoy along the way in between the time of showers. Plus, confidence is high for good weather next weekend to kick off the unofficial start to the summer season.
