Super Weekend Weather....
A weak front is pushing through New England today. Temps have started in the Lwr-mid 30's...with plenty of sunshine, breezy WNW winds, highs will climb to 40-45 south of Boston, and remain in the upper 30's NW of the city. High clouds will be increasing from the south during the afternoon as a low tracks well south of the region.
High pressure builds in from Canada tonight supplying cold dry air and clearing skies. Overrunning clouds from the mid-Atlantic low will be spreading mid level clouds along and south of the Pike tonight. Lows will be dropping inot the teens and lwr 20's
A trough will remain over the northeast into Sunday..supplying slightly cooler air compared to Saturday...but also suppressing the storm track well south of New England. . A weak short wave will push through which may help to form a few clouds. Overall, NW winds with building high pressure will mean plenty of sunshine and seasonable cool temps in the mid 30's on average.
High pressure slides south of New England Monday with SW winds developing. Temps will be able to climb back in the Lwr -mid 40's. Another weak front pushes through Monday night and off the coast Tuesday....with building high pressure behind...with more sunshine. Temps will cool back down into the Lwr 40's Tuesday and into the mid 30's by Wednesday.
A weak wave of low pressure will begin to approach Wednesday night & Thursday which may spawn a period of lt snow/flurries...but recent model runs have been weakening this....Something to watch.
A Deepening trough develops over the Great Lakes and heads to the coast for next weekend. SW winds aloft will allow for overrunning clouds and maybe even a little storm formation off the coast...but right now it just does not look like the storm will get it's act together in time to come up the coast...though it will likely become a stronger storm out at sea. We could get brushed by a few flurries Saturday? High pressure returns from Canada with gusty NW winds . Much colder air will begin to be directed into the Northeast. This should be an impressive cold shot and dare I say the beginning of a pattern change?
There are signs for a tad more blocking in the overall weather pattern, yet the polar and and subtropical jetstreams still remain separate. What we will have to watch by next weekend is the shift of the Polar Vortex. This is something we have not seen yet this winter. By next weekend the Vortex will shift from Siberia through Canada and neging to settle over Hudson bay. This will ensure much colder days ahead for the second half of February. The NAO is still positive...but trending towards the negative once after Valentines day. It is after the 14th where things may start to get colder around here in a more Arctic fashion. The weather pattern should respond to the heavier cold with a jet stream with more amplitude and waves...and an over all more active pattern with bigger storms. The hopes of this have been dashed before this winter...so I understand any skepticism. I feel it my self towards this winter...but the good news is there are signs to a turn to cold... and that is a positive start!
A super weekend to enjoy. All is well with the weather. Now it is time for some football!
