String Of Dry Days...Gradual Warming
Today is the beginning of a 3-day dry stretch. It will be a cold, yet sunny day with highs ranging from the middle 20s to 30F. The northwest breeze will add to the 'chill factor'. Wednesday will be slightly warmer with highs in the middle 30s, and Thursday will be the warmest with highs in the lower to middle 40s. Nighttime lows (single digits to the teens) will be very cold the next couple of nights with a cold air mass in place along with radiational cooling.
Friday's Storm: Not much has changed amongst the models. The GFSx is still running the low across southeastern Mass. depicting a colder scenario. Consequently, this would produce rain for the Cape/Islands, rain/snow mix for southeastern Mass/areas south of the Pike, and the best chance of snow would be norh of the Pike (more specifically northwest of 495). IF this verifies, there could be 6"+ of snow in this neighborhoods. Here's the GFSx solution in graphic form...
The EURO shows a much warmer solution tracking the vortex of the low farther to the west. It passes the Ohio/Pennsylvania border around 12z Friday. IF this solution verifies, it woud mainly be a rain event along with a few residual snow showers from the backlash of the storm. Here is the EURO solution in graphical form...
Both models have been consistent with their forecast. We will be watching the model updates closely as the event nears.
Melissa :)