Quiet at Home...Watching Sandy
Today will be another quiet day. Clouds will continue to thin out as the morning transitions into the afternoon. A high pressure center to our north will continue to suppress a warm/stationary front to our southwest. Skies will be partly sunny for the most part with highs in the upper 50s today. These cooler high temps will be accompanied by a light onshore wind.
Thursday and Friday will include bright skies and a little warming trend from the lower 60s on Thursday to the upper 60s/70F on Friday (cooler coast).
This weekend: The pick day will be Saturday with increasing clouds. Highs will remain in the middle 60s. Sunday ((may)) be the the day where we see and feel the intial signs of 'Sandy'. Skies will be mainly cloudy and a few showers may be arriving.
The latest in the Tropics: T.S. Sandy is expected to strengthen into a Cat. 1 hurricane later this afternoon as it is crosses Jamaica and eastern Cuba. Then, models have it making its closest pass to South/Southeast Florida on Friday. As we head into the latter part of the weekend and into early next week, the GFSx and the EURO begin to diverge. According to the EURO, a negatively tilted upper level trough will 'steer' Sandy into NYC/New Jersey area on Monday night. If that's the case, it will have a significant impact on our coast including high seas, coastal flooding, high winds and heavy rain. The GFSx solution is less ominous with the storm steering way offshore, but it still shows an impact starting on Sunday and hanging with us through Tuesday. The different upper level depiction only shows slight phasing. It shows a piece of energy from Sandy joining forces with the upper level trough and producing heavy periods of rain and gusty onshore winds on Monday and Tuesday. It's still to far out to call. That being said, the majority of the models on our spaghetti chart are steering the storm well offshore. We will be watching this closely.
~Melissa :)
