Patience Is A Virtue...With Weather
Light showers and sprinkles around dawn have pushed off the coast. Drier air is on the move! Morning clouds are breaking giving way to increasing sunshine. I expect this erosion of cloud cover to continue with drying WNW winds. Skies will be partly sunny this afternoon with highs climbing to 55-60. Breezy winds sometimes will gust over 20 to make it feel a bit cooler. Great to see the sun returning for Easter Sunday!
Another shortwave will be digging in from the Great Lakes and tracking just south of New England tonight thru tomorrow. This energy will round the base of a trough firmly entrenched over New England and allow the upper Low to strengthen and merge even more over us to start the work week. Clouds will be increasing overnight with this disturbance...meanwhile at the surface a low from the Canadian maritimes will be backing into Northern New England. This all will spell abundant cloud cover for Monday with another brief shower possible at dawn...Clouds will rule north, but southern New England will have the chance for at least some partial afternoon sun to develop. Strong winds will mix down in the afternoon from the west where we could see gusts to 30-40 mph. Any increasing sun with west winds will spike temps into the lwr 60's south...cooler 50's north in the clouds. A blustery afternoon as the low strengthens just north of us.
Tuesday will be more of the same...with sunshine to start the day with building afternoon cloud cover. The cool air aloft along with this upper low will keep things fairly unstable for the next few days...but not enough to cause any heavy rain which is much-needed to ease brushfire and drought threats. With the heating of the day...rising inot the cool air aloft...this will again mean mostly cloudy skies developing with a hit or miss shower. By Wednesday or Thursday, the upper low is right over us, as well as the core of cool air aloft and instability. Clouds will rule through this time...with the better chance of a few showers popping up in the afternoon.
By Friday, the trough finally begins to lift out with a building upper level ridge spreading east for the weekend with warming temperatures into the 60's. By Marathon Monday with a ridge on the east coast, temps will be rising to +12-14 at 850 temps & will allow for a summer surge with temps climbing into the 70's. Not the best of news for the runners, but welcome to everyone else who misses that mild weather. The good news continues with a fairly flat flow to the jetstream for the middle to end of April....which will help keep temps warmer....but the pollen count will be off the charts...and the dry pattern will likely continue. So despite this week's challenges...Patience will be a virtue this week knowing what is ahead.
