It's National Weather Persons Day...Hooray!
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Cold high pressure in place this morning with light Northerly winds is supplying much colder stable dry air from Canada. Lows have started in the teens and lwr 20's. A deepening storm in the north Atlantic is directing the cold into New England and helping to steer any storms south of us for now. Super Bowl Sunday will feature 100% of the sunshine with seasonably cool temps with highs eventually climbing into the lwr-mid 30's. Southeast MA may see mid-upper 30's as winds shift to a warmer westerly direction
Clear skies to start this evening...but a warm front will provide some cloudiness overnight..especially in Northern New England. Temps will hold in the 20's as winds begin to turn to the SW once high pressure sinks south of New England. After a few early morning low clouds Monday, These warming SW winds will push much warmer air into the northeast. Highs on Monday will be climbing into the upper 40's and lwr 50's with bright sunshine. An amazing outdoor day for this time of year. Can you you imagine how happy people will feel if the Patriots win tonight? Let's hope it all works out.
A weak front will be pushing through Tuesday with a few patchy clouds mixed in with sunshine. Temps should still be able to climb into the 40's before falling off later in the day with cooler NW winds. Canadian high pressure will bring a renewed press of cooler air for the midweek. A stalled front separating the cool and warm air masses will be south of us Wednesday. Clouds will be increasing. We will have to track a piece of energy and lift riding along this front that could provide for a period of light snow sometime Wednesday or Thursday.
More weak high pressure develops Thursday with increasing sun and west winds ahead of another front by Friday which will move through mostly dry...This will come with a cooler wind shift and another mostly quiet cooler weekend ahead...at least that's the way it looks now. Previous runs have showed something trying to come together off the coast this weekend, but that does not look as likely now. If anything the pattern with a series of fronts with a constant pulse of reinforcing shots of colder air will continue. But once again the cold having trouble locking in until further notice. The climate prediction center has the northeast with above normal temperatures from the 12-18th in their 8-14 day forecast. I do not necessarily agree with them...but this does give me pause in having any real certainty to upcoming storms or pattern changes for the near future. I still believe with the NAO trending towards the negative, stratospheric warming, a swing in the MJO, blocking cold in Europe... A turn to a colder active pattern can be expected to shift in for middle to end of February. Maybe just maybe....Nothing can be certain the way this winter has gone...unless the NAO and AO go negative...just not there yet.
