Getting Better...
I wish it were as easy as flipping a switch but improvements will be slow to come by over the next few days...they are coming though! The gale center is now beginning to shift East and at the same time drier air is working into the storm. This process will be ongoing over the next few days with noticeable improvements each day. Tomorrow I expect brightening and sunny breaks and with some sun will come temps rising into the 60s. The problem is that the mid atmosphere is still relatively chilly and with the sun poking out and heating up the surface air, it will have an easy time rising and forming towering cumulus which will lead to scattered afternoon showers. I also expect a seabreeze to form which should keep most coastal towns protected from any developing showers so most of the action will happen inland.
This will be the case again on Thursday and Friday but both days will feature even more sunshine and thus therefore warmer temps and more available energy in the atmosphere so any pop-up showers could grow into a thunderstorm.
The weekend looks very promising but I have my concerns. First of all heat will be in the process of building east as a ridge on the East Coast replaces the current cut-off low. Once it gets to the Northeast however it will encounter a less favorable environment. A series of shortwaves will ride up and over the ridge sliding right through New England and I fear this will prevent a perfectly sunny and hot stretch from successfully getting in here. On Saturday, winds will not have shifted into the west yet so low clouds will be hanging around. They will burn off to sunshine and temps will work up to around 80 inland and 70s for the coast. Saturday will likely be the better bet this weekend as a potent shortwave will dive south spinning up an area of low pressure as works through Central New England. Out ahead of it winds should shift back onshore beating the warmth back to NYC and low clouds will once again pounce back in. The low will also support showers and thunderstorms that won't end until Sunday morning. In the wake of that low skies will try to clear but if they do, a second shortwave may be enough of a trigger to pop another thunderstorm in the afternoon. Temps will stay in the 70s it appears. The weekend is several days off so a lot can change, and let's hope it does.
