Dry...
That's the best way to sum up the past few months and the next few days. This has actually been one of the driest January through March stretches in history. The 4th driest in fact with just 5.99 inches of rain. With the lack of rain comes an elevated risk for brush fires and once again this week will feature several Fire Weather Watches due to the lack of rain, dry brush, low humidity and gusty winds.
We are finally starting to see some downstream blocking and that is amplifying the pattern here in the Northeast. Once storms hit the ocean they are blowing up into larger cyclones. This effectively drives cooler air south from Canada into New England. Occasionally in this flow we will see a frontal passage but with limited moisture in Central Canada these fronts only have scattered showers associated with them.
Every day this week will be very similar. Lots of sunshine, breezy and temps in the 50s. Wednesday will feature our only chance for rain...and it's slim at that. A coldfront will pass through very early Wednesday morning with a few showers and a secondary front will pass through in the evening with another brief shower...that's it. It even looks dry over the weekend with high pressure supplying nearly 100% sunshine. We should also see a bit of a warm up for Easter Weekend...60 on Saturday and 60-70 on Easter Sunday with the cooler temps found near the coast.
