A Dry Weekend...But...
Hey, anytime you get a dry weekend you have to be happy but there will be some issues when spending time outside.
A fast moving clipper system will cruise bye to our north as high pressure settles to our south. The pressure gradient between the two will once again give us a windy day...mixing and momentum transfer should allow for gusts to approach 40 mph in the afternoon. This will effectively ruin an otherwise mild afternoon...but at least it will be dry!
A trailing coldfront will slide through Saturday afternoon and some serious cold air advection will commence...and the coldest airmass will settle into New England supported by a 1035mb high...no slouch!
The serious cold (relatively speaking) will be short lived as return flow along the back of the high will pop us back into the 50s for the start of the holiday week. The trade off will be more clouds and eventually showers fueled by a passing coldfront Tuesday evening. The front and the baroclinic zone now appears to settle to our south middle and second half of the week (Wednesday night thru Friday) which would be a scary proposition if a storm could get organized and utilize that cold air over us, and more so, just to our north. But the upper air pattern isn't supportive of a bomb or even a good sized storm...forward tilted elongated trough, multiple vort centers...if this holds true we are looking at a ragged, weaker, perhaps multi low center storm. Unlikely to produce a ton of precip. Nonetheless, any precip will be falling thru cold enough air aloft for frozen precip and marginally cold enough boundary layer (close to surface) air depending on time of day...so...a cold rain / wet snow mix is a possibility. Granted this is a long way off but if I were to guess I'd say that little or no accumulation will occur outside of some hill-tops perhaps...obviously we'll have more to say as it becomes available...
Have a great weekend...
