Hey folks...so here we go, entering into a much colder and stormier pattern for the remainder of the week. Our first event will be minor and it arrives tomorrow with occasional light rain. But the second on Thursday into Thursday night will be a bigger storm...it will mostly feature cold rain but in the evening as the sun goes down and the storm gets stronger, colder air will start to flip rain to wet snow and this process will gradually work through the NW suburbs of Boston Thursday night and may even mix with a few flakes in Boston too! Obviously, we think it will snow for several hours in the higher elevations and through Interior NE and this will lead to some minor accumulation (2+")...inside of 495 there may be a coating on the grass, deck or cartops that forms by early Friday morning.
This won't be the only chance for snow...Saturday is still showing potential for a large storm to form...if it does expect more cold rain, wet snow and coastal flooding. The Euro has been the most adamant about this storm forming the others have been on and off with it. The problem seems to be two-fold...one the Euro is just simply more amplified in the overall pattern and two the models are having a tough time with the hurricane off the Yucatan and when it finally moves north. The others seem to be moving it north too quickly and therefore adding extra energy to the atmosphere in the northern latitudes and making the pattern less amplified. If you take the hurricane center official forecast, they keep the cane down there much longer...as is the Euro and therefore the trough in the east digs sooner and spins up a larger storm sooner too. So that is why we are leaning toward the Euro solution right now...are we right...time will tell.