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BLOG: Conn's Friday 6-Pack Week 4

Last week 3-3 and I missed my lock so the record on the year...10-8 and 2-1 on my locks.

Conn-Crete lock of the week... Dallas -1 over Detroit... I really like the Cowboys in this spot. Emotional win for Detroit last week over Minnesota. Back to back road games and the Cowboys gain momentum and win this game. Dallas will attack a weak offensive line and a weak secondary.

2. I love St Louis +1.5 Vs Washington... this falls into 3 things i love to bet against. Teams on back to back road games, betting against a team coming off Monday night game on the road and following that up with another road game, and lastly you know i love the home dogs.

3.Arizona +1 Vs New York Giants... I believe Kevin Kolb is going to have a field day with the Giants secondary. Arizona plays great at home and i don't like this giants team this year.

4.Philly -9 Vs 49ers... Eagles were embarrassed last week at home. They are in a must win situation against a team that has 2 wins(Cincy, Seattle) and this game has blow out written all over it.

5.New England/ Oakland over 54.5... This game will be a shootout. The Patriots defense cant stop a nosebleed and the Raiders defense will not stop the Pats. I look for a lot of points.... No reason to sweat the high total... It goes over.

6. Tampa Bay -10 Vs Indy... Monday night football blowout... I think Tampa Bay will route the Colts. Don't be fooled by Curtis Painter(he stinks). That Tampa 2 confuses good QB's, what do you think they will do to Painter?

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