Carson Leads Trump Slightly In Texas KTVT-CBS 11 Dixie Strategies Poll

Clinton dominates among Democrats with "Undecided" in second place

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DALLAS/FORT WORTH (CBSDFW.COM) -- A KTVT-CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll of over 2,000 likely primary voters in Texas shows a pitched battle taking place at the top of the GOP ticket and Clinton dominance on the Democrat side.

PRIMARY 

Statewide, among likely GOP Primary voters, Dr. Ben Carson and real estate mogul Donald Trump are in a virtual tie at 22.93% and 22.17% respectively. Texas Senator Ted Cruz is the next nearest competitor at 14.27% with former Florida Governor Jeb Bush not too far behind Cruz at 12.65%. All other GOP candidates are polling under 7% with Florida Senator Marco Rubio ahead of former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (6.57% and 4.57% respectively).

When looking at respondents in the DFW Area, the numbers vary a bit. Carson (23.11%) leads Trump (20.45%) by almost 3 points with Cruz (16.67%) and Bush (13.64%) in third and fourth place respectively. All other GOP candidates poll under 6% in the DFW area.

 

(The KTVT-CBS 11 Dixie Strategies Poll Margin of Error is ± 3.02% Republican; ± 3.09% Democratic; and ± 2.16% for All voters)

 

That same poll shows that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is far ahead of her challengers among likely Democrat Primary voters. Clinton garners 58.73% support with "Undecided" at 28.27%, ahead of both Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley who have 9.72% and 3.27% respectively.

Clinton's strength in the numbers is even more pronounced in the DFW area leading the pack at 62.58% and "Undecided" voters make up 31.03% of respondents.

 

FAVORABILITY

Participants were asked a few questions about the "Favorability" of both President Obama and Governor Abbott as well.

Overall, 44.36% of respondents viewed President Obama as "Very" or "Somewhat" Favorable and 49.97% viewed him as "Very" or "Somewhat" Unfavorable.

When asked the same about Governor Abbott, 56.98% of respondents viewed Abbott as "Very" or "Somewhat" Favorable and 29.53% viewed him as "Very" or "Somewhat" Unfavorable.

This poll contains the results of a telephone survey of 1,051 "likely" Republican Presidential Primary voters and 1,008 "likely" Democratic Presidential Primary voters statewide in Texas.  The results were gathered October 23-24, 2015.

All respondents interviewed in this study were part of a fully representative sample based on the latest voter registration figures and turnout models built using recent election data. The confidence interval associated with a sample of this type is such that 95% of the time results will be within the margin of error of the "true values" where "true values" refers to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every "likely" voter in the county.

Here are more details and analysis of the polls at seen on CBS11 at 5:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. on Tuesday.

(©2015 CBS Local Media, a division of CBS Radio Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.)

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