Who was favored to win Super Bowl 2025 between the Chiefs and Eagles?
The Kansas City Chiefs looked for a historic Super Bowl "three-peat" but the Philadelphia Eagles' defense didn't let them find it.
The Birds got revenge on Sunday at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, two years after they lost to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl LVII thriller — beating the odds sportsbooks had forecast.
As defending champions, sportsbooks had the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites before Sunday game. The game was expected to be high-scoring, with an over-under of 48.5, according to sportsbooks. The two teams combined for a 73-point shootout in their first Super Bowl meeting.
The Chiefs 15-2 record this season is somewhat deceptive, eking out wins, with the team only going 8-9 against the spread, per Covers.com. The Eagles finished with a 14-3 record but went 11-6 against the spread. The Chiefs finished 11th in the NFL with a regular season point differential of plus-59, according to StatMuse, while the Eagles finished second with a point differential of plus-160.
The Eagles did most of the scoring at the Super Bowl LIX as they crushed the Chiefs 40-22.
What happened in Super Bowl LVII
On Feb. 13, 2023, the Chiefs earned their third Super Bowl in franchise history in a 38-35 comeback win over the Eagles in Glendale, Arizona. Super Bowl LIX sees both quarterbacks from that game, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes and the Eagles' Jalen Hurts, return as well as both coaches, Andy Reid and Nick Sirianni.
The Chiefs went into halftime down 24-14. But despite playing on an injured ankle, Mahomes helped the Chiefs rally, culminating in a game-winning drive that set up Harrison Butker for a 27-yard field goal. However, that final drive was also remembered for a controversial holding call on Eagles cornerback James Bradberry on a critical third down.
Eagles' last Super Bowl win
The Eagles have made four Super Bowl appearances in franchise history starting in 1981, when they lost to the Oakland Raiders.
Their only Super Bowl title came in 2018 when led by improbable backup quarterback Nick Foles, the Eagles upset Tom Brady and the New England Patriots 41-33. That game had marked a rematch of sorts. In 2005, the Eagles, then coached by Reid, fell to the Patriots 24-21.
It's also notable that Brady was broadcasting Sunday's game for Fox.
Super Bowl predictions
Every year, EA Sports runs a simulation of the Super Bowl on its popular Madden video game. In last year's simulation, the Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers, 30-28. The real result: 25-22.
The simulation was correct this year because it favored the Eagles. In the Madden NFL 25 Super Bowl LIX official simulation, which ran Friday, the Eagles beat the Chiefs 23-21.
Since 2004, the simulation has accurately predicted the winner 55% of the time, according to Sports Illustrated.
Do jersey colors matter?
According to CBS Sports, the teams that wore white have gone 16-4 in the last 20 Super Bowls, and have won about 64% of all 58 Super Bowls played.
Since the Eagles are the designated home team because the game will be in New Orleans, they got to pick the jersey color, CBS News Philadelphia reported. The Birds again opted for midnight green, and the Chiefs will wear white uniforms in their rematch.
At least for this year, the midnight green overshadowed the white.