First Alert Weather: Red Alert for rain, wind and snow for some Thursday into Friday
Alerts: Red Alert Thursday afternoon into Friday for rain, gusty winds and even some snow inland and N&W.
Wind: 25-35 mph gusts to 50 mph near the coastlines
Rainfall: 1-2 inches. A good soaking for the area with ponding on roads and a minor flood risk.
Snowfall: There will be a huge range of snowfall, depending on elevation.
0 inches in New York City, 12-18 inches on the fringes of our area (northern Catskills, Hunter Mountain, Belleayre Mountain, etc.). Traveling north on the Thruway, expect coatings in White Plains, 1-2 inches around New City, 2-5 inches near Newburgh, Cold Spring and Beacon.
Expect the biggest changes traveling northwest through New Jersey toward Sussex County and beyond. Little to nothing in eastern Bergen County, a few inches near West Milford, 3-6 inches near Port Jervis and 6-10 inches near Monticello.
Timing
11 a.m. - 3 p.m. Thursday: Rain and snow enter the region, from the southwest, and expand northeast.
3-11 p.m. Thursday: Steadier rain expands to Long Island and northeastern zones. Steady snow north of 1-287. The rain/snow line looks to push north of 1-287 after 8 p.m.
11 p.m. Thursday - 7 a.m. Friday: A windswept rain. Some heavier bouts push through, as well as some breaks. The elevated zones that stay cold (1000+ feet) stack up snow all night.
7 a.m. - 7 p.m. Friday: Rain tapers off as the day goes on. It's lighter than Thursday, but still affects us negatively. Snow still falls well north as the system heads out. Some light, secondary accumulations are possible.
This is messy storm with mainly a windswept rain near New York City, heavy wet snows well inland and a mixing transition in-between. Friday now looks tougher, especially from New York City and north with lingering light snow and rain. The wind is steadier on Friday as well.
We are in the clear by Saturday morning with sunshine.