Cowboys Vs. Dolphins Predictions: ATS Stats, Consensus, And NFL Week 11 Picks
By Abraham Gutierrez
For only the 14th time in history, the Miami Dolphins and Dallas Cowboys will meet for what should be a highly contested affair. And while the Fins come in with a slight 7-6 edge in the overall series, NFL Week 11 oddsmakers have the Boys listed as betting favorites despite being on the road.
The last time these teams met dates back to the 2011 NFL season, when these storied franchises squared off at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Much like how NFL oddsmakers expect Sunday's game to play out, Dallas ended up on the winning side of a 20-19 decision.
Can Tony Romo really come off a long layoff and lead the desperate Cowboys to a road victory at Sun Life Stadium? According to the only ATS stat in this head-to-head matchup, the road team is actually 4-1 the last five times these teams have met on the gridiron.
But that's not the only piece of ATS info that suggests this team is capable of going into enemy territory and snap their seven-game skid. Judging by the ATS tendencies the Cowboys have shown as of late, Dallas fans can bet easy knowing that they're making a smart investment.
Cowboys ATS Stats To Consider (Week 11)
For starters, the Cowboys tend to play well on grass, coming in with a record of 7-1 in their last eight games played on this surface. Also worth noting is the fact that this team tends to play well after struggling to get the running game going the week prior. In those instances, Dallas is 8-3 in their last 11 games when rushing for less than 90 yards in the previous game. Finally, it's also very important to note that the site doesn't appear to affect this team much, as Dallas is 9-4 in their last 13 road games overall.
Dolphins ATS Stats To Consider (Week 11)
One of the tricky parts about deciding which team to bet on is the possibility that both clubs come in performing well in ATS scenarios. That is the case of the Cowboys-Dolphins matchup, as Miami also has done well in its most recent ATS trends.
For some reason, this team seems to love playing football in the current calendar month, as they come in sporting a record of 6-2 in their last 8 November games. Coming as no coincidence, the Fins are also 13-6 in their last 19 games played in Week 11.
Cowboys vs. Dolphins Week 11 Betting Consensus
When it comes down to making a decision, one must take every piece of information that's available before investing. With that said, it's key to note that Dallas is 2-7 against the spread this season while Miami is 4-5 thus far. As a result, it comes as no surprise that most bettors are leaning in favor of the home team in this one.
As of Thursday morning, 56 percent of betting action has been registered for the Dolphins at +1. In contrast, 44 percent of wagers are on the Cowboys side as one-point favorites. As far as the OVER/UNDER goes, that line has been set at 47 points.
Wagering date on the OVER/UNDER shows that most bettors believe these teams will end up below that point mark. The latest figures show that 37 percent of the public is taking the OVER, while an overwhelming 63 percent like the UNDER.
2015 NFL Week 11 Predictions: Miami Dolphins +1
Abe Gutierrez's (Twitter: @GutierrezAbe) passion led him to ditch law school journey in order to launch his own publishing company. His expertise make him a valued addition to Examiner.com, AXS.com and the CBS-Sports family. Some of his work can be found on CBS-Miami (Dolphins), CBS-LosAngeles (Chargers), CBS-BayArea (Raiders), CBS-NewYork (NY Jets), CBS-TampaBay (Buccaneers), AXS.com, Examiner.com and other online publications.